Catskill Steve’s Picks: Nov. 16 BmlP
November 16, 2013,by “Catskill” Steve Terjanian
Catskill Steve offers his picks for tonight’s guaranteed $20,000 Pick-4 at Balmoral Park, part of the U.S. Trotting Association Strategic Wagering Program.
Balmoral Park Pick-4, Races 10-13, Saturday, November 16, 2013
$1 play: 12/1489/6/157= $24
Analysis:
Race 10: The Perry Smith trained entry of (1) Four Starzzz Z and (1A) Tink And Tiger look best. The former drops and gets a good spot off a decent try parked past :27.4 quarter and still able to finish in :26.2 against tough field. The latter hasn’t won since taking a lifetime mark of 1:49.4 against better back in August but has been racing well at this level in recent. Draws 10-hole but “Double Oo” sticks and this one has speed to leave for a trip. (2) Lennox Blue Chip had no real excuse when dropped to this level last time although wide early still got the top off modest fractions and failed to finish through :27.2 final quarter. 9-year-old was chasing fast miles prior and has had a solid year; may be worth another shot.
Race 11: (4) In Over My Head has shown explosive late pace in recent, last time finishing with thoroughbred like :25.3 final panel to beat lesser. (1) Best Man Hanover beat top one in last meeting two back then had strong wide rally from 8th past three-quarters to miss by a neck at this level last time. Sharp 5-year-old will be sitting closer to the top from this spot and has the look of a key player. (9) Time To Roll returns from Hoosier where he was easy winner against lesser last time after facing the likes of Pet Rock in Hoosier Pacing Derby two back. Draws 9-hole in return but beat some of these taking two Invitational events in easy fashion in last visit and certainly looks like a major contender. (8) Firstclassalltheway had the unenviable task of going first-up against Fort Silky last time and understandably tired, two back finished with strong pace to nail place behind same pacer. Hard charging 6-year-old gets class relief tonight and will be following live cover from this spot. Price factor.
Race 12: (6) Just By Design hasn’t been this low in a long while and may take them down the pike with little speed inside of her.
Race 13: (1) Stamped By Design was used hard to get the top from 8-hole, weakened late but did well to miss by a length and a half. Gets the rail in second start at reduced level and may prove best if he still has anything left making 79th start in last two seasons. (5) I’m Blue Too paced a :56.3 middle half on long uncovered grind against tougher, couldn’t clear and understandably faded late. Takes a key drop and should go well at this level. (7) One Last Chance also drops after finishing fast against better in last two. Consistent sort has shown speed at this level in the past and is dangerous on best.