by Keith Gisser

Keith Gisser offers his picks for the $10,000 Pick 4 at Northfield Park on May 18, part of the USTA Strategic Wagering program.

Northfield Park Pick 4, Races 8-11, Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Monday, we got the always painful three of four on a $1,703 ticket. We got our value in the first leg, our single in the second and Au Chocolat, a horse I left off for budget constraints, knocked us out.

Even though I am not wild about Wednesday’s eighth race, this Pick 4 looks like it has some potential, so we will attack it. Wish I had the budget to hit ALL in the first leg.

$1 play: 1359/19/123/69 = $48

Analysis:

8th race: In my real (no budget limit) play, I would hit the all button, but without a logical single, I am kind of stuck.

9th race: (9)Vaniscape will get a perfect trip behind (1) Shark Lover who loves the front and gets his first decent draw since Zach Galifinakis’s last haircut. (That’s a really long time)

10th race: The inside three all have recent wins against lesser and show good form. The (7) Bell’s Panacea worries me, even with Tye driving, and the (9) Perfect Door was a good horse once. Did the win at the bottom wake him up?

11th race: I was very tempted to single (9) Be Bop Beauty, which would have allowed me to go deeper elsewhere, but Zhihong Pang has been stuck in some fast miles and could be a sleeper.